San Francisco vs Universitario analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.3%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.9%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.9%
1-0
12.4%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
26.7%
Draw
0-0
8.7%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.7%
27%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
0-1
8.9%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7.1%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
-9%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
6
3º
11º
10º
13
1º
7º
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
6º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
18 | 29 |
1º
|
50% | |
|
3º
|
17 | 27 |
2º
|
21% | |
|
4º
|
15 | 26 |
3º
|
16% | |
|
2º
|
18 | 26 |
4º
|
16% | |
|
|
6º
|
13 | 24 |
5º
|
13% | |
|
7º
|
12 | 23 |
6º
|
17% | |
|
5º
|
15 | 23 |
7º
|
17% | |
|
8º
|
12 | 20 |
8º
|
26.5% | |
|
10º
|
7 | 18 |
9º
|
24% | |
|
|
11º
|
6 | 17 |
10º
|
22% | |
|
12º
|
4 | 15 |
11º
|
27.5% | |
|
9º
|
8 | 15 |
12º
|
33% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Final Series
|
0% | 3.5% |
|
Play-offs
|
0% | 18.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 78% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
San Francisco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Aug. 2024 |
AZU
3 - 3
SFF
48%
26%
26%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2024 |
SFF
1 - 2
SUN
64%
22%
14%
|
73 | 59 | 14 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2024 |
SFF
1 - 2
IND
36%
27%
37%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Jul. 2024 |
UME
0 - 2
SFF
30%
29%
41%
|
73 | 64 | 9 | 0 |
| 25 May. 2024 |
SFF
0 - 0
TAU
43%
28%
30%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Universitario
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Aug. 2024 |
IND
1 - 0
CHO
52%
24%
23%
|
70 | 73 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2024 |
CHO
4 - 2
AZU
35%
27%
38%
|
69 | 73 | 4 | +1 |
| 28 Jul. 2024 |
UME
0 - 1
CHO
32%
27%
41%
|
69 | 63 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Jul. 2024 |
CHO
3 - 2
SUN
57%
24%
20%
|
68 | 58 | 10 | +1 |
| 03 May. 2024 |
UME
1 - 1
CHO
34%
27%
39%
|
68 | 63 | 5 | 0 |