San Francisco vs Atl. Chiriquí analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.8%
Win probability
1.86
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.6%
3-0
7.3%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.6%
2-0
11.8%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.1%
1-0
12.7%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.3%
22.1%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.1%
16.1%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
11.2%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.8%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
San Francisco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jul. 2012 |
SFF
4 - 0
RIO
61%
24%
15%
|
68 | 57 | 11 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2012 |
SMI
3 - 1
SFF
46%
26%
28%
|
69 | 68 | 1 | -1 |
| 22 Apr. 2012 |
SFF
3 - 1
AMA
60%
23%
17%
|
69 | 61 | 8 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2012 |
CHO
3 - 1
SFF
43%
27%
30%
|
70 | 69 | 1 | -1 |
| 31 Mar. 2012 |
SFF
0 - 1
ARA
53%
26%
21%
|
70 | 68 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Atl. Chiriquí
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jul. 2012 |
CHI
1 - 3
AFC
45%
26%
29%
|
60 | 59 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2012 |
AMA
2 - 4
CHI
51%
25%
25%
|
59 | 60 | 1 | +1 |
| 22 Apr. 2012 |
CHI
1 - 2
CHO
32%
29%
40%
|
60 | 69 | 9 | -1 |
| 15 Apr. 2012 |
ARA
1 - 1
CHI
57%
24%
19%
|
59 | 68 | 9 | +1 |
| 01 Apr. 2012 |
CHI
0 - 1
TAU
28%
27%
45%
|
61 | 69 | 8 | -2 |