San Francisco vs Alianza FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
39.4%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
3%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.1%
+3
4.2%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
11.3%
1-0
12.3%
2-1
8%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.3%
28.4%
Draw
0-0
10.1%
1-1
13.2%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
28.4%
32.2%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
10.9%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
19.7%
0-2
5.8%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
8.8%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-27%
-5%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
31
1º
10º
1º
23
1º
7º
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
7º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
31 | 31 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
29 | 29 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
28 | 28 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
26 | 26 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
25 | 25 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
24 | 24 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
|
7º
|
23 | 23 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
21 | 21 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
20 | 20 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
16 | 16 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
10 | 10 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
9 | 9 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Next round
|
100% | 0% |
|
Play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
San Francisco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Mar. 2024 |
SFF
2 - 0
AMA
36%
29%
36%
|
70 | 74 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2024 |
SMI
0 - 1
SFF
57%
24%
18%
|
69 | 74 | 5 | +1 |
| 04 Mar. 2024 |
SFF
0 - 3
TAU
36%
29%
34%
|
70 | 74 | 4 | -1 |
| 24 Feb. 2024 |
ARA
0 - 0
SFF
45%
29%
26%
|
69 | 72 | 3 | +1 |
| 17 Feb. 2024 |
SFF
2 - 2
AZU
37%
27%
36%
|
69 | 70 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Alianza FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Mar. 2024 |
AFC
0 - 1
UME
58%
26%
16%
|
74 | 63 | 11 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2024 |
IND
5 - 1
AFC
47%
26%
27%
|
74 | 72 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2024 |
AFC
1 - 0
CHO
45%
28%
27%
|
73 | 68 | 5 | +1 |
| 24 Feb. 2024 |
AZU
1 - 2
AFC
43%
28%
30%
|
73 | 70 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2024 |
AFC
2 - 2
ARA
41%
30%
30%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | +1 |