San Francisco II vs Mario Méndez analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
32.7%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.2%
2-0
5.6%
3-1
2.9%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.2%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.2%
26.8%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.8%
40.6%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
0-1
10.8%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
21.9%
0-2
7.3%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.9%
0-3
3.2%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.8%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
-17%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
San Francisco II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
CDU
1 - 2
SFF
22%
23%
55%
|
50 | 38 | 12 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2024 |
SFF
1 - 1
ACE
74%
16%
10%
|
50 | 24 | 26 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2024 |
SFF
0 - 3
ACE
76%
15%
9%
|
50 | 22 | 28 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2024 |
SFF
0 - 1
IDC
51%
25%
25%
|
51 | 49 | 2 | -1 |
| 21 Apr. 2024 |
UFC
2 - 1
SFF
46%
24%
30%
|
51 | 50 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Mario Méndez
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
UFC
0 - 0
AFM
37%
26%
37%
|
57 | 50 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2024 |
AFM
2 - 0
VCD
65%
21%
15%
|
57 | 46 | 11 | 0 |
| 27 May. 2024 |
SSM
2 - 1
AFM
66%
21%
14%
|
57 | 67 | 10 | 0 |
| 20 May. 2024 |
ACE
0 - 1
AFM
17%
23%
61%
|
57 | 25 | 32 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2024 |
UFC
0 - 1
AFM
40%
26%
35%
|
56 | 51 | 5 | +1 |