San Fernando CD vs Real Murcia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
25.9%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.4%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.9%
2-0
4.5%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.6%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
6%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
+1
16.9%
27.8%
Draw
0-0
10.3%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
27.8%
46.3%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
0-1
13.9%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
24.5%
0-2
9.3%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0%
-2
13.8%
0-3
4.2%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.6%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
+13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
San Fernando CD
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Feb. 2017 |
SAN
2 - 2
GRA
26%
27%
47%
|
42 | 54 | 12 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2017 |
MEL
1 - 0
SAN
59%
24%
17%
|
43 | 54 | 11 | -1 |
| 12 Feb. 2017 |
SAN
0 - 1
LOR
26%
27%
47%
|
43 | 56 | 13 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2017 |
MAD
3 - 0
SAN
60%
22%
18%
|
44 | 49 | 5 | -1 |
| 29 Jan. 2017 |
SAN
0 - 1
ROD
52%
24%
24%
|
45 | 44 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Real Murcia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Feb. 2017 |
MUR
2 - 2
REC
56%
25%
20%
|
57 | 50 | 7 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2017 |
GRA
1 - 1
MUR
49%
26%
26%
|
57 | 54 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2017 |
MUR
1 - 0
BAL
58%
24%
19%
|
57 | 48 | 9 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2017 |
UCA
1 - 0
MUR
60%
23%
17%
|
57 | 65 | 8 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2017 |
MEL
0 - 0
MUR
37%
30%
34%
|
57 | 54 | 3 | 0 |