San Fernando CD vs Mairena analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
73.3%
Win probability
2.24
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.6%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.3%
4-0
5.7%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.7%
3-0
10.2%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
14.7%
2-0
13.7%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.9%
1-0
12.2%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
17.2%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
17.2%
9.5%
Win probability
0.67
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
2.7%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.1%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.9%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
+24%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
San Fernando CD
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Oct. 2014 |
ARC
0 - 5
SAN
15%
23%
62%
|
45 | 23 | 22 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2014 |
SAN
1 - 0
ALC
66%
20%
14%
|
45 | 36 | 9 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2014 |
BAR
0 - 2
SAN
16%
23%
61%
|
45 | 24 | 21 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2014 |
SAN
0 - 1
REC
77%
15%
8%
|
45 | 25 | 20 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2014 |
CAB
1 - 0
SAN
22%
25%
54%
|
46 | 32 | 14 | -1 |
Matches
Mairena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Oct. 2014 |
MAI
1 - 0
LAP
64%
20%
16%
|
31 | 22 | 9 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2014 |
ECI
1 - 0
MAI
55%
23%
22%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | -1 |
| 28 Sep. 2014 |
MAI
2 - 2
CDG
72%
18%
10%
|
32 | 19 | 13 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2014 |
ALG
3 - 0
MAI
66%
20%
14%
|
33 | 42 | 9 | -1 |
| 17 Sep. 2014 |
MAI
4 - 0
CON
48%
25%
27%
|
32 | 30 | 2 | +1 |