Tercera Playoffs Quarter-finals
Global 4-3
San Fernando CD vs CE Europa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.9%
Win probability
1.86
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.6%
3-0
7.3%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.6%
2-0
11.8%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.1%
1-0
12.8%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.3%
22.1%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.1%
16.1%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
11.2%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.7%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
San Fernando CD
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 May. 2016 |
ECI
0 - 2
SAN
25%
26%
49%
|
43 | 30 | 13 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2016 |
SAN
4 - 1
CDG
70%
19%
12%
|
42 | 32 | 10 | +1 |
| 01 May. 2016 |
COR
0 - 3
SAN
18%
24%
58%
|
42 | 27 | 15 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2016 |
SAN
7 - 0
UDR
80%
14%
7%
|
41 | 22 | 19 | +1 |
| 17 Apr. 2016 |
CAB
0 - 2
SAN
18%
24%
58%
|
41 | 26 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
CE Europa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 May. 2016 |
EUR
3 - 1
ECG
73%
18%
9%
|
38 | 21 | 17 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2016 |
SFC
0 - 0
EUR
27%
26%
47%
|
38 | 26 | 12 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2016 |
EUR
1 - 2
JUP
73%
18%
9%
|
39 | 21 | 18 | -1 |
| 24 Apr. 2016 |
PAL
2 - 3
EUR
28%
27%
46%
|
38 | 26 | 12 | +1 |
| 17 Apr. 2016 |
EUR
3 - 1
CDM
76%
17%
7%
|
38 | 19 | 19 | 0 |