San Fernando CD vs Algeciras CF analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
68.6%
Win probability
2.23
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.9%
4-0
4.7%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.8%
3-0
8.5%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.3%
2-0
11.4%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.6%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.6%
18.5%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.5%
12.9%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
San Fernando CD
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Aug. 2011 |
MAR
1 - 2
SAN
29%
27%
44%
|
35 | 28 | 7 | 0 |
| 26 Jun. 2011 |
SAN
0 - 1
ROD
64%
20%
16%
|
37 | 36 | 1 | -2 |
| 18 Jun. 2011 |
ROD
3 - 0
SAN
52%
24%
24%
|
39 | 34 | 5 | -2 |
| 12 Jun. 2011 |
SAN
4 - 0
LOJ
69%
19%
12%
|
38 | 36 | 2 | +1 |
| 05 Jun. 2011 |
LOJ
3 - 2
SAN
49%
26%
25%
|
39 | 35 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Algeciras CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Aug. 2011 |
ALG
1 - 1
CAD
52%
24%
24%
|
30 | 27 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2011 |
POR
2 - 0
ALG
37%
28%
36%
|
32 | 28 | 4 | -2 |
| 08 May. 2011 |
ALG
0 - 2
MAI
50%
26%
23%
|
34 | 35 | 1 | -2 |
| 01 May. 2011 |
BAL
0 - 1
ALG
67%
20%
13%
|
33 | 42 | 9 | +1 |
| 24 Apr. 2011 |
ALG
3 - 0
BAR
69%
19%
12%
|
32 | 22 | 10 | +1 |