San Fernando CD vs CD Alcalá analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.7%
Win probability
2.07
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.3%
4-0
4.1%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.8%
3-0
8%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.2%
2-0
11.6%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
20%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
20%
14.4%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
4%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.4%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-18%
+16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
San Fernando CD
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Sep. 2014 |
BAR
0 - 2
SAN
16%
23%
61%
|
46 | 26 | 20 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2014 |
SAN
0 - 1
REC
77%
15%
8%
|
46 | 27 | 19 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2014 |
CAB
1 - 0
SAN
22%
25%
54%
|
47 | 33 | 14 | -1 |
| 14 Sep. 2014 |
SAN
2 - 0
COR
74%
16%
10%
|
47 | 30 | 17 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2014 |
ASJ
0 - 1
SAN
18%
24%
59%
|
47 | 28 | 19 | 0 |
Matches
CD Alcalá
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Sep. 2014 |
ALC
0 - 0
LAP
72%
17%
11%
|
37 | 24 | 13 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2014 |
ECI
0 - 1
ALC
50%
24%
26%
|
36 | 35 | 1 | +1 |
| 17 Sep. 2014 |
ALC
0 - 0
CDG
78%
15%
7%
|
37 | 20 | 17 | -1 |
| 14 Sep. 2014 |
ALG
2 - 0
ALC
57%
23%
20%
|
38 | 43 | 5 | -1 |
| 07 Sep. 2014 |
ALC
1 - 0
CON
61%
22%
18%
|
37 | 32 | 5 | +1 |