San Fernando CD U19 vs Málaga U 19 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
27.1%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
0.8%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.8%
2-0
3.6%
3-1
2.9%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
7.6%
1-0
5.5%
2-1
6.7%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
15.6%
22.6%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.6%
50.3%
Win probability
1.86
Expected goals
0-1
7.8%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
3.9%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22%
0-2
7.2%
1-3
5.9%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
15.3%
0-3
4.5%
1-4
2.8%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
8%
0-4
2.1%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3.3%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.2%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+91%
+14%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
7
7º
12º
9º
10
4º
9º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
4º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
11 | 81 |
1º
|
64.5% | |
|
6º
|
8 | 76 |
2º
|
45% | |
|
2º
|
11 | 70 |
3º
|
40% | |
|
|
4º
|
10 | 61 |
4º
|
28% | |
|
12º
|
5 | 53 |
5º
|
14.5% | |
|
7º
|
8 | 53 |
6º
|
11.5% | |
|
9º
|
6 | 51 |
7º
|
12.5% | |
|
3º
|
11 | 50 |
8º
|
13.5% | |
|
|
8º
|
7 | 45 |
9º
|
14% | |
|
11º
|
5 | 44 |
10º
|
13% | |
|
16º
|
2 | 44 |
11º
|
8% | |
|
5º
|
9 | 41 |
12º
|
10% | |
|
13º
|
4 | 37 |
13º
|
8% | |
|
15º
|
3 | 36 |
14º
|
12.5% | |
|
10º
|
6 | 35 |
15º
|
17.5% | |
|
14º
|
4 | 31 |
16º
|
18% | |
|
17º
|
1 | 24 |
17º
|
34% | |
|
18º
|
0 | 14 |
18º
|
75.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
0% | 1.5% |
|
Copa del Rey U18
|
2.5% | 43.5% |
|
Possible next round
|
5.5% | 15.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
79.5% | 39.5% |
|
Relegation
|
12.5% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
San Fernando CD U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Sep. 2024 |
LAC
1 - 1
FER
53%
23%
25%
|
15 | 17 | 2 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
FER
1 - 1
CAD
30%
23%
46%
|
15 | 19 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2024 |
FER
3 - 0
SEV
20%
22%
58%
|
13 | 20 | 7 | +2 |
| 04 May. 2024 |
CDC
2 - 3
FER
27%
23%
51%
|
13 | 9 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2024 |
FER
3 - 2
COR
63%
20%
17%
|
12 | 10 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Málaga U 19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Sep. 2024 |
CAD
1 - 2
MAL
44%
23%
33%
|
20 | 19 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2024 |
MAL
2 - 2
GRA
32%
24%
44%
|
19 | 26 | 7 | +1 |
| 04 May. 2024 |
TOM
2 - 3
MAL
19%
21%
59%
|
19 | 12 | 7 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2024 |
MAL
3 - 0
COR
73%
17%
10%
|
19 | 14 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2024 |
SEV
4 - 2
MAL
81%
13%
7%
|
19 | 36 | 17 | 0 |