San Fernando CD U19 vs Calavera CF U19 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.8%
Win probability
1.83
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.1%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.1%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.6%
2-0
7%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.8%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.8%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.8%
28.4%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
8%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
-6%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
16º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
19
7º
16º
15º
26
9º
18º
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
12º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
52 | 85 |
1º
|
91.5% | |
|
2º
|
48 | 75 |
2º
|
86% | |
|
3º
|
39 | 65 |
3º
|
61% | |
|
5º
|
36 | 62 |
4º
|
37.5% | |
|
4º
|
38 | 56 |
5º
|
21.5% | |
|
7º
|
33 | 56 |
6º
|
26.5% | |
|
8º
|
32 | 52 |
7º
|
18.5% | |
|
9º
|
31 | 50 |
8º
|
15.5% | |
|
6º
|
33 | 48 |
9º
|
11.5% | |
|
|
12º
|
26 | 47 |
10º
|
13% | |
|
10º
|
28 | 46 |
11º
|
10.5% | |
|
11º
|
26 | 43 |
12º
|
20% | |
|
13º
|
24 | 39 |
13º
|
20.5% | |
|
14º
|
23 | 37 |
14º
|
28% | |
|
|
16º
|
19 | 33 |
15º
|
29% | |
|
15º
|
20 | 31 |
16º
|
53% | |
|
18º
|
3 | 14 |
17º
|
66% | |
|
17º
|
4 | 10 |
18º
|
67.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
0% | 0% |
|
Copa del Rey U18
|
0% | 0.5% |
|
Possible next round
|
0% | 2.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
39.5% | 95.5% |
|
Relegation
|
60.5% | 1.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
San Fernando CD U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Sep. 2024 |
UDM
1 - 1
FER
45%
23%
31%
|
18 | 18 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2024 |
FER
1 - 0
MAL
27%
23%
50%
|
17 | 22 | 5 | +1 |
| 04 Sep. 2024 |
LAC
1 - 1
FER
53%
23%
25%
|
17 | 19 | 2 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
FER
1 - 1
CAD
30%
23%
46%
|
16 | 20 | 4 | +1 |
| 12 May. 2024 |
FER
3 - 0
SEV
20%
22%
58%
|
14 | 21 | 7 | +2 |
Matches
Calavera CF U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Sep. 2024 |
MAL
3 - 0
CAL
62%
20%
18%
|
19 | 21 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2024 |
CAL
3 - 3
CAD
43%
23%
34%
|
18 | 20 | 2 | +1 |
| 04 Sep. 2024 |
GRA
3 - 0
CAL
76%
15%
9%
|
19 | 27 | 8 | -1 |
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
CAL
1 - 5
BET
11%
16%
73%
|
20 | 38 | 18 | -1 |
| 04 May. 2024 |
CAL
2 - 1
SAJ
71%
16%
13%
|
19 | 13 | 6 | +1 |