San Donato Tavarnelle vs Montespaccato analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
72.1%
Win probability
2.16
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.9%
4-0
5.4%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.1%
3-0
10.1%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
14.1%
2-0
14%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.8%
1-0
13%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
18%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
18%
9.9%
Win probability
0.65
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
2.8%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.4%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
San Donato Tavarnelle
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Feb. 2022 |
GAV
0 - 1
SDT
39%
27%
34%
|
44 | 44 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2022 |
SDT
2 - 2
SPO
52%
25%
23%
|
44 | 42 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2022 |
RIE
2 - 1
SDT
13%
21%
65%
|
46 | 26 | 20 | -2 |
| 06 Feb. 2022 |
SDT
5 - 0
BAR
58%
23%
20%
|
45 | 39 | 6 | +1 |
| 30 Jan. 2022 |
UNV
0 - 2
SDT
12%
17%
72%
|
44 | 23 | 21 | +1 |
Matches
Montespaccato
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Mar. 2022 |
MON
1 - 2
FOL
66%
18%
16%
|
34 | 25 | 9 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2022 |
MON
0 - 1
TIF
50%
22%
28%
|
35 | 34 | 1 | -1 |
| 20 Feb. 2022 |
ACS
0 - 0
MON
36%
25%
40%
|
35 | 33 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2022 |
RIE
0 - 1
MON
40%
23%
37%
|
34 | 29 | 5 | +1 |
| 13 Feb. 2022 |
MON
1 - 1
ARZ
33%
23%
44%
|
34 | 39 | 5 | 0 |