WC Qual. CONCACAF Playoffs Semi-finals
Global 3-6
San Cristóbal y Nieves vs El Salvador analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
22.2%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.5%
2-0
3.6%
3-1
1.7%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.5%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
5.5%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.8%
25.7%
Draw
0-0
8.7%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.7%
52.1%
Win probability
1.54
Expected goals
0-1
13.4%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.1%
0-2
10.3%
1-3
4.8%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
15.9%
0-3
5.3%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
7.4%
0-4
2%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.6%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-22%
-22%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
San Cristóbal y Nieves
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 May. 2015 |
BRB
1 - 3
KNA
35%
26%
39%
|
52 | 49 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2015 |
TCA
2 - 6
KNA
19%
22%
59%
|
51 | 29 | 22 | +1 |
| 24 Mar. 2015 |
KNA
6 - 2
TCA
73%
17%
10%
|
51 | 30 | 21 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2014 |
HTI
0 - 0
KNA
71%
19%
10%
|
51 | 68 | 17 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2014 |
GUF
1 - 2
KNA
27%
24%
49%
|
50 | 45 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
El Salvador
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Jun. 2015 |
CHI
1 - 0
SLV
87%
10%
3%
|
69 | 90 | 21 | 0 |
| 31 May. 2015 |
HND
2 - 0
SLV
69%
19%
12%
|
70 | 80 | 10 | -1 |
| 01 Apr. 2015 |
SLV
0 - 0
GTM
39%
25%
36%
|
69 | 74 | 5 | +1 |
| 28 Mar. 2015 |
SLV
0 - 2
ARG
7%
16%
77%
|
70 | 95 | 25 | -1 |
| 19 Nov. 2014 |
NIC
0 - 2
SLV
15%
21%
64%
|
69 | 49 | 20 | +1 |