Saint Kitts and Nevis vs Bermuda analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
36.5%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.2%
2-0
5.9%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.6%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
20%
25.6%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.6%
37.9%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
0-1
9%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
20.4%
0-2
6.2%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.1%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.5%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Saint Kitts and Nevis
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Nov. 2015 |
EST
3 - 0
KNA
65%
22%
13%
|
53 | 71 | 18 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2015 |
AND
0 - 1
KNA
20%
23%
58%
|
53 | 35 | 18 | 0 |
| 17 Jun. 2015 |
SLV
4 - 1
KNA
70%
19%
12%
|
54 | 69 | 15 | -1 |
| 12 Jun. 2015 |
KNA
2 - 2
SLV
22%
26%
52%
|
54 | 69 | 15 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2015 |
BRB
1 - 3
KNA
35%
26%
39%
|
52 | 50 | 2 | +2 |
Matches
Bermuda
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Jun. 2015 |
BMU
0 - 1
GTM
20%
23%
57%
|
56 | 74 | 18 | 0 |
| 13 Jun. 2015 |
GTM
0 - 0
BMU
72%
19%
10%
|
56 | 74 | 18 | 0 |
| 06 Jun. 2015 |
BMU
1 - 1
PRI
66%
19%
15%
|
56 | 44 | 12 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2015 |
BMU
3 - 0
BHS
70%
18%
12%
|
55 | 40 | 15 | +1 |
| 26 Mar. 2015 |
BHS
0 - 5
BMU
20%
21%
59%
|
55 | 42 | 13 | 0 |