Saint Kitts and Nevis vs Aruba analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
67.5%
Win probability
2.23
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.8%
4-0
4.5%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.6%
3-0
8.1%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13%
2-0
10.9%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.3%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.4%
18.7%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.7%
13.8%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.4%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-32%
-39%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Saint Kitts and Nevis
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Mar. 2023 |
MAF
1 - 3
KNA
8%
13%
79%
|
51 | 22 | 29 | 0 |
| 13 Jun. 2022 |
KNA
1 - 1
MAF
81%
14%
6%
|
51 | 21 | 30 | 0 |
| 10 Jun. 2022 |
ABW
2 - 3
KNA
15%
18%
67%
|
50 | 36 | 14 | +1 |
| 25 Mar. 2022 |
AND
1 - 0
KNA
17%
21%
62%
|
51 | 36 | 15 | -1 |
| 16 Jun. 2021 |
SLV
2 - 0
KNA
75%
16%
9%
|
52 | 72 | 20 | -1 |
Matches
Aruba
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Jun. 2022 |
ABW
2 - 3
KNA
15%
18%
67%
|
36 | 50 | 14 | 0 |
| 07 Jun. 2022 |
ABW
3 - 0
MAF
70%
17%
13%
|
36 | 22 | 14 | 0 |
| 03 Jun. 2022 |
MAF
0 - 0
ABW
16%
18%
66%
|
36 | 21 | 15 | 0 |
| 06 Jun. 2021 |
ABW
0 - 7
CAN
3%
8%
89%
|
37 | 79 | 42 | -1 |
| 03 Jun. 2021 |
CYM
1 - 3
ABW
44%
22%
34%
|
35 | 35 | 0 | +2 |