Saint Kitts and Nevis vs Saint Lucia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.9%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.5%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.6%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.2%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.8%
33.2%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
0-1
7.6%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
18.5%
0-2
5.1%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
9.5%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.7%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-33%
+33%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Saint Kitts and Nevis
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Oct. 2023 |
KNA
0 - 1
SXM
74%
16%
10%
|
47 | 16 | 31 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2023 |
SXM
2 - 3
KNA
8%
13%
79%
|
47 | 17 | 30 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2023 |
LCA
2 - 0
KNA
30%
23%
47%
|
48 | 44 | 4 | -1 |
| 08 Sep. 2023 |
KNA
1 - 2
GLP
26%
24%
50%
|
49 | 55 | 6 | -1 |
| 03 Jul. 2023 |
JAM
5 - 0
KNA
80%
15%
6%
|
49 | 75 | 26 | 0 |
Matches
Saint Lucia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Oct. 2023 |
GLP
2 - 0
LCA
62%
21%
17%
|
47 | 55 | 8 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2023 |
LCA
2 - 1
GLP
20%
22%
58%
|
45 | 56 | 11 | +2 |
| 11 Sep. 2023 |
LCA
2 - 0
KNA
30%
23%
47%
|
44 | 48 | 4 | +1 |
| 08 Sep. 2023 |
SXM
1 - 5
LCA
13%
16%
71%
|
43 | 18 | 25 | +1 |
| 17 Jun. 2023 |
MTQ
3 - 1
LCA
79%
15%
7%
|
44 | 61 | 17 | -1 |