Saint Kitts and Nevis vs Saint Lucia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.4%
Win probability
1.93
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.5%
3-0
6.5%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.2%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.2%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
21.8%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.8%
18.7%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
12.3%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
4.7%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-24%
+29%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Saint Kitts and Nevis
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Oct. 2012 |
KNA
0 - 3
GUF
73%
17%
10%
|
50 | 38 | 12 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2012 |
KNA
0 - 1
TTO
7%
16%
77%
|
51 | 76 | 25 | -1 |
| 11 Oct. 2012 |
KNA
2 - 0
AIA
90%
8%
2%
|
50 | 7 | 43 | +1 |
| 03 Mar. 2012 |
KNA
1 - 0
ATG
29%
24%
47%
|
50 | 56 | 6 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 2011 |
CAN
4 - 0
KNA
77%
16%
7%
|
50 | 81 | 31 | 0 |
Matches
Saint Lucia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 May. 2014 |
LCA
0 - 0
VCT
38%
24%
38%
|
42 | 47 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 May. 2014 |
GRD
0 - 1
LCA
65%
19%
15%
|
41 | 49 | 8 | +1 |
| 30 Apr. 2014 |
DMA
0 - 2
LCA
50%
23%
27%
|
39 | 37 | 2 | +2 |
| 05 Mar. 2014 |
LCA
0 - 5
JAM
10%
20%
69%
|
40 | 77 | 37 | -1 |
| 30 Nov. 2013 |
DMA
0 - 1
LCA
55%
22%
24%
|
39 | 39 | 0 | +1 |