WC Qual. CONCACAF Fase 1 Parte 1 Final
Global 11-0
Saint Kitts and Nevis vs US Virgin Islands analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
85.9%
Win probability
3.16
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.6%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.7%
7-0
1.4%
8-1
0.4%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.8%
6-0
3.1%
7-1
0.9%
8-2
0.1%
+6
4.1%
5-0
5.9%
6-1
2%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
8.2%
4-0
9.3%
5-1
3.8%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
13.8%
3-0
11.8%
4-1
5.9%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.1%
+3
19.1%
2-0
11.2%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.9%
1-0
7.1%
2-1
7.1%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
17%
9.6%
Draw
0-0
2.2%
1-1
4.5%
2-2
2.3%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
9.6%
4.5%
Win probability
0.64
Expected goals
0-1
1.4%
1-2
1.4%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
3.4%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
0.8%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-33%
+133%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Saint Kitts and Nevis
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Mar. 2004 |
KNA
2 - 3
ATG
65%
19%
16%
|
55 | 47 | 8 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2004 |
KNA
4 - 2
VGB
83%
11%
6%
|
55 | 24 | 31 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2004 |
VIR
0 - 4
KNA
13%
20%
68%
|
55 | 5 | 50 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2004 |
ATG
1 - 0
KNA
22%
23%
55%
|
55 | 44 | 11 | 0 |
| 02 Aug. 2003 |
KNA
1 - 2
TTO
19%
24%
58%
|
56 | 77 | 21 | -1 |
Matches
US Virgin Islands
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Feb. 2004 |
VIR
0 - 4
KNA
13%
20%
68%
|
5 | 55 | 50 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2004 |
VIR
0 - 5
DMA
12%
19%
69%
|
5 | 51 | 46 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2004 |
VGB
5 - 0
VIR
81%
12%
7%
|
5 | 26 | 21 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2002 |
VIR
1 - 5
DOM
1%
9%
90%
|
5 | 60 | 55 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2002 |
DOM
6 - 1
VIR
93%
6%
1%
|
5 | 60 | 55 | 0 |