Saint Kitts and Nevis vs Bahamas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.1%
Win probability
1.97
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.6%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.4%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.8%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.4%
1-0
9%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.3%
21.7%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.7%
21.2%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
13.2%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.6%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-20%
-34%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Saint Kitts and Nevis
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Jun. 2024 |
CRC
4 - 0
KNA
81%
14%
5%
|
45 | 82 | 37 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2024 |
SMR
0 - 0
KNA
10%
16%
73%
|
46 | 14 | 32 | -1 |
| 20 Mar. 2024 |
SMR
1 - 3
KNA
11%
17%
72%
|
46 | 15 | 31 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2023 |
GLP
5 - 0
KNA
60%
21%
19%
|
47 | 56 | 9 | -1 |
| 17 Nov. 2023 |
KNA
0 - 0
LCA
42%
25%
33%
|
47 | 46 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Bahamas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Jun. 2024 |
BHS
1 - 7
TTO
5%
11%
84%
|
31 | 67 | 36 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 2023 |
PRI
6 - 1
BHS
65%
18%
17%
|
32 | 45 | 13 | -1 |
| 17 Oct. 2023 |
ATG
2 - 2
BHS
59%
21%
20%
|
32 | 45 | 13 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2023 |
BHS
1 - 4
ATG
16%
17%
67%
|
33 | 45 | 12 | -1 |
| 13 Sep. 2023 |
GUY
3 - 2
BHS
70%
17%
14%
|
34 | 50 | 16 | -1 |