San Cristobal vs Moca analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
22.7%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.7%
2-0
3.6%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.8%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
5.7%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.8%
24.9%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.9%
52.4%
Win probability
1.61
Expected goals
0-1
12.2%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.6%
0-2
9.8%
1-3
5.1%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
16%
0-3
5.3%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
7.7%
0-4
2.1%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.9%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-48%
-12%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
6
5º
8º
9º
28
1º
5º
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
2º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
36 | 37 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
28 | 28 |
2º
|
0% | |
|
|
2º
|
28 | 28 |
3º
|
0% | |
|
4º
|
24 | 24 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
23 | 23 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
21 | 22 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
16 | 16 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
14 | 14 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
|
9º
|
6 | 6 |
9º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Next round
|
0% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
San Cristobal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 May. 2023 |
UNI
3 - 1
SCR
72%
18%
11%
|
48 | 60 | 12 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2023 |
SCR
1 - 3
JAR
41%
26%
33%
|
49 | 52 | 3 | -1 |
| 10 May. 2023 |
SCR
1 - 0
AVR
35%
26%
40%
|
48 | 53 | 5 | +1 |
| 06 May. 2023 |
SCR
2 - 2
AFC
24%
25%
51%
|
47 | 60 | 13 | +1 |
| 29 Apr. 2023 |
CFC
5 - 0
SCR
70%
19%
11%
|
48 | 61 | 13 | -1 |
Matches
Moca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 May. 2023 |
RFC
1 - 1
MOC
24%
25%
51%
|
61 | 48 | 13 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2023 |
MOC
2 - 0
UNI
36%
30%
33%
|
61 | 61 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2023 |
DEP
0 - 2
MOC
45%
27%
28%
|
59 | 60 | 1 | +2 |
| 08 May. 2023 |
MOC
2 - 1
AVR
46%
29%
25%
|
59 | 54 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2023 |
AFC
1 - 0
MOC
37%
29%
34%
|
60 | 59 | 1 | -1 |