San Carlos vs Municipal Liberia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.9%
Win probability
1.82
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.8%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.1%
2-0
9.6%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.2%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.9%
21.2%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13.6%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.5%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+14%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
37
1º
6º
4º
37
3º
10º
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
5º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
48 | 48 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
44 | 44 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
41 | 41 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
37 | 37 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
|
5º
|
37 | 37 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
32 | 32 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
30 | 30 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
23 | 23 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
20 | 20 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
19 | 19 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
15 | 15 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
15 | 15 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Final Series
|
100% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
San Carlos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Nov. 2023 |
MUN
0 - 1
SAN
31%
27%
43%
|
65 | 59 | 6 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2023 |
SAN
1 - 0
PER
68%
20%
12%
|
65 | 54 | 11 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2023 |
SAN
2 - 1
CSH
35%
27%
38%
|
64 | 71 | 7 | +1 |
| 09 Nov. 2023 |
SAN
0 - 2
SAN
45%
25%
30%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | +1 |
| 04 Nov. 2023 |
SAN
2 - 1
PFC
54%
24%
22%
|
63 | 59 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Municipal Liberia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Nov. 2023 |
MUN
0 - 1
SAN
31%
27%
43%
|
59 | 65 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 2023 |
GUA
4 - 2
MUN
44%
26%
30%
|
60 | 63 | 3 | -1 |
| 12 Nov. 2023 |
MUN
0 - 0
PFC
46%
26%
28%
|
60 | 60 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2023 |
MUN
1 - 2
SAP
22%
26%
52%
|
60 | 74 | 14 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2023 |
CSC
3 - 2
MUN
66%
20%
14%
|
61 | 70 | 9 | -1 |