San Carlos vs Municipal Liberia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.3%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.4%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.5%
2-0
9.6%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.7%
1-0
11%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.6%
22.1%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.1%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.7%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
+9%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
26
2º
11º
6º
22
5º
11º
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
9º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
55 | 55 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
46 | 46 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
43 | 43 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
37 | 37 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
37 | 37 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
|
6º
|
26 | 26 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
26 | 26 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
23 | 23 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
|
9º
|
22 | 22 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
21 | 21 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
17 | 17 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
15 | 15 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Next round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
San Carlos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep. 2023 |
PER
2 - 2
SAN
36%
26%
38%
|
65 | 59 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2023 |
CSH
2 - 1
SAN
53%
25%
23%
|
66 | 68 | 2 | -1 |
| 10 Sep. 2023 |
SAN
2 - 2
SAN
53%
24%
22%
|
66 | 62 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2023 |
SAP
2 - 2
SAN
65%
19%
16%
|
65 | 73 | 8 | +1 |
| 02 Sep. 2023 |
PFC
1 - 0
SAN
32%
27%
42%
|
66 | 59 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Municipal Liberia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Sep. 2023 |
MUN
0 - 1
GUA
42%
27%
31%
|
61 | 62 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2023 |
PFC
1 - 0
MUN
43%
26%
31%
|
61 | 61 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2023 |
SAP
2 - 0
MUN
69%
19%
12%
|
62 | 73 | 11 | -1 |
| 07 Sep. 2023 |
LDA
2 - 1
MUN
67%
19%
15%
|
63 | 74 | 11 | -1 |
| 03 Sep. 2023 |
MUN
2 - 1
CSC
24%
25%
51%
|
62 | 71 | 9 | +1 |