Apertura Costa Rica Quarter-finals
Global 2-4
San Carlos vs CS Herediano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.4%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.9%
3-0
4%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.8%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.6%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.4%
26.5%
Draw
0-0
8.3%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.5%
28.1%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
8.8%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.4%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
7.6%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
San Carlos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Nov. 2010 |
SAN
3 - 1
LDA
40%
28%
32%
|
68 | 72 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2010 |
SAN
3 - 1
LDA
36%
28%
36%
|
67 | 74 | 7 | +1 |
| 31 Oct. 2010 |
SAN
0 - 0
SAN
45%
27%
29%
|
66 | 62 | 4 | +1 |
| 24 Oct. 2010 |
CSH
4 - 1
SAN
58%
24%
18%
|
66 | 70 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2010 |
SAN
4 - 1
BFC
31%
27%
42%
|
65 | 74 | 9 | +1 |
Matches
CS Herediano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Nov. 2010 |
BFC
2 - 1
CSH
51%
26%
24%
|
70 | 72 | 2 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2010 |
CSH
4 - 1
UNI
67%
21%
12%
|
70 | 61 | 9 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2010 |
CSH
4 - 1
SAN
58%
24%
18%
|
70 | 66 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2010 |
SAN
2 - 2
CSH
34%
27%
38%
|
71 | 63 | 8 | -1 |
| 10 Oct. 2010 |
CSH
2 - 2
LDA
52%
26%
22%
|
72 | 70 | 2 | -1 |