San Carlos vs Guanacasteca analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.6%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.4%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.8%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.8%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.7%
25.4%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.4%
26%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
7.8%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.2%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.9%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
-19%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
37
1º
6º
4º
30
1º
7º
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
7º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
48 | 48 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
44 | 44 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
41 | 41 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
37 | 37 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
37 | 37 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
32 | 32 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
|
7º
|
30 | 30 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
23 | 23 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
20 | 20 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
19 | 19 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
15 | 15 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
15 | 15 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Final Series
|
100% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
San Carlos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jan. 2024 |
PER
2 - 1
SAN
25%
26%
50%
|
68 | 56 | 12 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2024 |
SAN
2 - 3
LDA
35%
27%
38%
|
68 | 74 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2024 |
CSH
0 - 1
SAN
54%
24%
22%
|
67 | 72 | 5 | +1 |
| 17 Jan. 2024 |
SAN
2 - 4
SAN
35%
26%
39%
|
66 | 60 | 6 | +1 |
| 14 Jan. 2024 |
SAN
3 - 2
MUN
56%
23%
21%
|
66 | 59 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Guanacasteca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jan. 2024 |
PFC
3 - 2
GUA
28%
27%
45%
|
67 | 58 | 9 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2024 |
GUA
4 - 2
SPO
46%
26%
28%
|
66 | 63 | 3 | +1 |
| 20 Jan. 2024 |
GUA
2 - 2
SAN
55%
25%
20%
|
66 | 59 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 2024 |
CSC
1 - 2
GUA
55%
24%
21%
|
66 | 68 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 2024 |
GUA
1 - 0
GRE
60%
23%
17%
|
65 | 55 | 10 | +1 |