San Carlos vs Belén Siglo XXI analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.5%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.5%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.8%
2-0
10.8%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.4%
1-0
12.7%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.2%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.9%
19.6%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.2%
0-2
3%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.8%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
San Carlos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Apr. 2012 |
LDA
1 - 2
SAN
56%
25%
19%
|
68 | 71 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2012 |
SAN
2 - 1
PER
46%
26%
28%
|
68 | 70 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2012 |
LFC
0 - 1
SAN
36%
28%
36%
|
68 | 58 | 10 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2012 |
SAN
1 - 3
SAN
53%
25%
22%
|
69 | 67 | 2 | -1 |
| 26 Mar. 2012 |
SAP
1 - 1
SAN
59%
24%
17%
|
68 | 73 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Belén Siglo XXI
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Apr. 2012 |
BEL
7 - 0
LFC
66%
20%
14%
|
66 | 57 | 9 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2012 |
SAN
2 - 0
BEL
53%
25%
22%
|
66 | 68 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2012 |
BEL
2 - 4
SAP
37%
26%
37%
|
67 | 71 | 4 | -1 |
| 01 Apr. 2012 |
PFC
4 - 1
BEL
41%
27%
33%
|
68 | 62 | 6 | -1 |
| 30 Mar. 2012 |
BEL
3 - 3
CSH
45%
27%
28%
|
68 | 70 | 2 | 0 |