San Antonio Unido vs Provincial Ovalle analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.5%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.1%
3-0
7.1%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10%
2-0
12%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.8%
1-0
13.6%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.7%
23%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
23%
16.5%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11.6%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.8%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-10%
-4%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
33
3º
12º
6º
24
7º
14º
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
11º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
48 | 55 |
1º
|
57% | |
|
2º
|
48 | 54 |
2º
|
56% | |
|
3º
|
42 | 46 |
3º
|
95% | |
|
4º
|
35 | 39 |
4º
|
61.5% | |
|
5º
|
33 | 37 |
5º
|
25% | |
|
|
6º
|
33 | 37 |
6º
|
22% | |
|
7º
|
32 | 36 |
7º
|
44% | |
|
8º
|
27 | 31 |
8º
|
16.5% | |
|
9º
|
26 | 30 |
9º
|
23.5% | |
|
10º
|
25 | 29 |
10º
|
16% | |
|
|
11º
|
24 | 28 |
11º
|
16.5% | |
|
12º
|
24 | 28 |
12º
|
22% | |
|
13º
|
23 | 27 |
13º
|
33.5% | |
|
14º
|
8 | 22 |
14º
|
85.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 81% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 19% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
San Antonio Unido
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Aug. 2024 |
REN
0 - 1
SAU
46%
26%
28%
|
52 | 52 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2024 |
SAU
3 - 4
CDM
25%
25%
50%
|
53 | 60 | 7 | -1 |
| 28 Jul. 2024 |
SAU
1 - 1
LAU
56%
23%
21%
|
53 | 46 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 Jul. 2024 |
GVE
4 - 0
SAU
45%
26%
29%
|
54 | 53 | 1 | -1 |
| 12 Jul. 2024 |
SAU
3 - 2
CDS
56%
23%
21%
|
53 | 43 | 10 | +1 |
Matches
Provincial Ovalle
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Aug. 2024 |
CDP
2 - 1
OVA
45%
26%
28%
|
48 | 47 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2024 |
OVA
0 - 1
TRA
51%
24%
25%
|
48 | 46 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Jul. 2024 |
OVA
1 - 1
FVC
41%
27%
32%
|
48 | 51 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Jul. 2024 |
LAU
1 - 1
OVA
46%
25%
29%
|
48 | 46 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Jul. 2024 |
OVA
1 - 2
PUE
32%
27%
42%
|
49 | 55 | 6 | -1 |