San Antonio Unido vs Lautaro de Buin analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.4%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.7%
3-0
6%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.1%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.3%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
11%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.2%
20.5%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.4%
0-2
3%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.2%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-10%
-22%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
33
3º
12º
6º
27
4º
12º
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
8º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
48 | 55 |
1º
|
57% | |
|
2º
|
48 | 54 |
2º
|
56% | |
|
3º
|
42 | 46 |
3º
|
95% | |
|
4º
|
35 | 39 |
4º
|
61.5% | |
|
5º
|
33 | 37 |
5º
|
25% | |
|
|
6º
|
33 | 37 |
6º
|
22% | |
|
7º
|
32 | 36 |
7º
|
44% | |
|
|
8º
|
27 | 31 |
8º
|
16.5% | |
|
9º
|
26 | 30 |
9º
|
23.5% | |
|
10º
|
25 | 29 |
10º
|
16% | |
|
11º
|
24 | 28 |
11º
|
16.5% | |
|
12º
|
24 | 28 |
12º
|
22% | |
|
13º
|
23 | 27 |
13º
|
33.5% | |
|
14º
|
8 | 22 |
14º
|
85.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 99% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 1% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
San Antonio Unido
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jul. 2024 |
GVE
4 - 0
SAU
45%
26%
29%
|
54 | 53 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Jul. 2024 |
SAU
3 - 2
CDS
56%
23%
21%
|
53 | 43 | 10 | +1 |
| 02 Jul. 2024 |
UCH
7 - 0
SAU
76%
16%
8%
|
54 | 75 | 21 | -1 |
| 28 Jun. 2024 |
SAU
0 - 0
UCH
11%
17%
72%
|
53 | 76 | 23 | +1 |
| 18 Jun. 2024 |
SAU
2 - 2
ULC
17%
22%
61%
|
53 | 71 | 18 | 0 |
Matches
Lautaro de Buin
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jul. 2024 |
LAU
1 - 1
OVA
46%
25%
29%
|
46 | 48 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Jul. 2024 |
FVC
2 - 0
LAU
46%
26%
28%
|
46 | 50 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Jun. 2024 |
LAU
0 - 1
OHI
13%
20%
67%
|
47 | 72 | 25 | -1 |
| 25 May. 2024 |
CDM
5 - 0
LAU
60%
23%
17%
|
47 | 58 | 11 | 0 |
| 20 May. 2024 |
LAU
1 - 0
CDS
54%
22%
24%
|
47 | 44 | 3 | 0 |