Q. Europa League Ronda previa Final
Global 0-3
Samtredia vs FK Vardar analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
74.3%
Win probability
2.4
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.5%
5-0
2.9%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.8%
4-0
6%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.5%
3-0
10%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.3%
2-0
12.5%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.7%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.8%
16.1%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
7.7%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
16.1%
9.6%
Win probability
0.74
Expected goals
0-1
3.2%
1-2
2.8%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
7%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.1%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Samtredia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Aug. 1995 |
SAM
3 - 1
EGR
86%
10%
4%
|
77 | 48 | 29 | 0 |
| 08 Aug. 1995 |
VAR
1 - 0
SAM
29%
25%
47%
|
76 | 66 | 10 | +1 |
| 31 May. 1995 |
SAM
3 - 4
ZUG
58%
22%
20%
|
77 | 71 | 6 | -1 |
| 22 May. 1995 |
MET
0 - 0
SAM
49%
24%
28%
|
77 | 73 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 May. 1995 |
SAM
3 - 0
IVE
70%
18%
12%
|
77 | 63 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
FK Vardar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Aug. 1995 |
VAR
1 - 0
SAM
29%
25%
47%
|
66 | 76 | 10 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 1994 |
BEK
1 - 0
VAR
62%
21%
17%
|
66 | 70 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 1994 |
VAR
1 - 1
BEK
50%
25%
24%
|
66 | 69 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 1987 |
VAR
0 - 3
FCP
22%
27%
51%
|
67 | 88 | 21 | -1 |
| 16 Sep. 1987 |
FCP
3 - 0
VAR
94%
5%
2%
|
68 | 88 | 20 | -1 |