Samtredia vs Samgurali analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
28.3%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.7%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.6%
2-0
4.5%
3-1
2.6%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.7%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
6.9%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.1%
25.5%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.5%
46.3%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
0-1
10.7%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
23%
0-2
8.1%
1-3
4.7%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14%
0-3
4.1%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
6.3%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.2%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-14%
-9%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
33
3º
10º
9º
57
2º
6º
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
5º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
74 | 74 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
71 | 71 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
60 | 60 |
3º
|
0% | |
|
4º
|
60 | 60 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
|
5º
|
57 | 57 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
51 | 51 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
38 | 38 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
37 | 37 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
|
9º
|
33 | 33 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
11 | 17 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase (1st r
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Samtredia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Nov. 2023 |
GAG
4 - 3
SAM
40%
26%
34%
|
59 | 58 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2023 |
SHU
0 - 9
SAM
35%
25%
40%
|
58 | 51 | 7 | +1 |
| 10 Nov. 2023 |
SAM
1 - 2
GOR
24%
26%
50%
|
58 | 73 | 15 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2023 |
SAB
0 - 0
SAM
68%
19%
12%
|
58 | 70 | 12 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2023 |
SAM
1 - 3
DBA
15%
23%
62%
|
58 | 77 | 19 | 0 |
Matches
Samgurali
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Nov. 2023 |
SAM
1 - 0
GOR
33%
28%
39%
|
68 | 74 | 6 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 2023 |
SAB
2 - 2
SAM
53%
24%
23%
|
67 | 71 | 4 | +1 |
| 11 Nov. 2023 |
SAM
3 - 2
DBA
23%
26%
52%
|
66 | 77 | 11 | +1 |
| 07 Nov. 2023 |
SAB
2 - 1
SAM
52%
23%
26%
|
67 | 70 | 3 | -1 |
| 03 Nov. 2023 |
FTK
0 - 0
SAM
56%
23%
21%
|
67 | 72 | 5 | 0 |