Samtredia vs FC Iberia 1999 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
23.4%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.9%
2-0
3.5%
3-1
2.1%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
6.1%
1-0
6.7%
2-1
6%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.8%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.1%
52.6%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
0-1
10.9%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24%
0-2
9.3%
1-3
5.5%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
16.1%
0-3
5.2%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
8%
0-4
2.2%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.1%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-10%
+23%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
27
8º
10º
10º
75
1º
5º
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
1º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
75 | 75 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
70 | 70 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
68 | 68 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
55 | 55 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
44 | 44 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
41 | 41 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
39 | 39 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
38 | 38 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
34 | 34 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
|
10º
|
27 | 27 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase (1st r
|
0% | 100% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Samtredia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Oct. 2024 |
KOL
0 - 0
SAM
62%
21%
17%
|
65 | 72 | 7 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2024 |
SAM
2 - 1
FTK
25%
26%
49%
|
64 | 77 | 13 | +1 |
| 01 Oct. 2024 |
DBA
1 - 2
SAM
72%
18%
11%
|
62 | 77 | 15 | +2 |
| 26 Sep. 2024 |
SAM
2 - 1
TEL
39%
27%
34%
|
62 | 67 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2024 |
GOR
3 - 2
SAM
68%
21%
12%
|
62 | 77 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
FC Iberia 1999
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Oct. 2024 |
SAB
3 - 0
FTK
48%
25%
27%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2024 |
TEL
1 - 2
SAB
20%
25%
56%
|
77 | 66 | 11 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2024 |
SAM
3 - 4
SAB
37%
26%
37%
|
77 | 75 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2024 |
SAB
1 - 1
GAG
71%
19%
11%
|
77 | 65 | 12 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2024 |
KOL
2 - 6
SAB
38%
25%
37%
|
77 | 72 | 5 | 0 |