Samtredia vs Mertskhali analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44.2%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.3%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.2%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
5%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.3%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.3%
24%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24%
31.8%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.7%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
9.1%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.6%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+15%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Samtredia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Oct. 2011 |
MEA
1 - 0
SAM
50%
23%
27%
|
47 | 48 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2011 |
MES
5 - 0
SAM
26%
24%
51%
|
49 | 42 | 7 | -2 |
| 06 Oct. 2011 |
SAM
2 - 2
CHI
54%
23%
23%
|
49 | 46 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2011 |
KOL
1 - 1
SAM
26%
25%
49%
|
49 | 44 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2011 |
SAM
0 - 1
DBA
31%
27%
41%
|
49 | 60 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Mertskhali
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Oct. 2011 |
CHI
2 - 1
MER
46%
23%
31%
|
47 | 47 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2011 |
MER
2 - 0
STU
40%
24%
35%
|
46 | 50 | 4 | +1 |
| 13 Oct. 2011 |
MER
3 - 1
CHK
39%
25%
36%
|
44 | 50 | 6 | +2 |
| 06 Oct. 2011 |
DBA
3 - 0
MER
63%
22%
15%
|
45 | 60 | 15 | -1 |
| 02 Oct. 2011 |
MEA
0 - 1
MER
57%
21%
22%
|
44 | 49 | 5 | +1 |