Samtredia vs Gagra analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
35.6%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.8%
2-0
6.1%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.2%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
8%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.2%
26.6%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.6%
37.8%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
0-1
10%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
20.9%
0-2
6.6%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.2%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
+8%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
19
8º
10º
10º
25
6º
10º
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
8º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
54 | 71 |
1º
|
57% | |
|
2º
|
51 | 68 |
2º
|
30% | |
|
3º
|
49 | 64 |
3º
|
49.5% | |
|
4º
|
36 | 54 |
4º
|
70.5% | |
|
6º
|
31 | 48 |
5º
|
43% | |
|
5º
|
31 | 46 |
6º
|
36% | |
|
7º
|
28 | 42 |
7º
|
48.5% | |
|
|
8º
|
25 | 34 |
8º
|
42% | |
|
9º
|
24 | 33 |
9º
|
43% | |
|
|
10º
|
19 | 27 |
10º
|
76.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase (1st r
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0.5% | 9.5% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
23% | 80% |
|
Relegation
|
76.5% | 10.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Samtredia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Aug. 2024 |
SAB
3 - 1
SAM
72%
18%
10%
|
58 | 73 | 15 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2024 |
SAM
1 - 3
KOL
28%
26%
47%
|
59 | 70 | 11 | -1 |
| 05 Aug. 2024 |
FTK
2 - 1
SAM
72%
18%
10%
|
59 | 75 | 16 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2024 |
GAR
5 - 0
SAM
54%
22%
25%
|
61 | 64 | 3 | -2 |
| 21 Jul. 2024 |
ADU
0 - 2
SAM
40%
23%
37%
|
60 | 56 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Gagra
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Aug. 2024 |
KOL
2 - 1
GAG
63%
21%
16%
|
65 | 71 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2024 |
GAG
1 - 1
DBA
25%
26%
49%
|
65 | 76 | 11 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2024 |
GOR
0 - 0
GAG
63%
23%
15%
|
64 | 76 | 12 | +1 |
| 27 Jul. 2024 |
SAM
0 - 0
GAG
58%
22%
20%
|
64 | 72 | 8 | 0 |
| 21 Jul. 2024 |
SAM
0 - 2
GAG
9%
16%
75%
|
64 | 32 | 32 | 0 |