Samtredia vs Gagra analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.4%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.9%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.5%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.4%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.5%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.3%
25.3%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.6%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.8%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
+8%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
19
8º
10º
10º
25
6º
10º
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
8º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
54 | 71 |
1º
|
57% | |
|
2º
|
51 | 68 |
2º
|
30% | |
|
3º
|
49 | 64 |
3º
|
49.5% | |
|
4º
|
36 | 54 |
4º
|
70.5% | |
|
6º
|
31 | 48 |
5º
|
43% | |
|
5º
|
31 | 46 |
6º
|
36% | |
|
7º
|
28 | 42 |
7º
|
48.5% | |
|
|
8º
|
25 | 34 |
8º
|
42% | |
|
9º
|
24 | 33 |
9º
|
43% | |
|
|
10º
|
19 | 27 |
10º
|
76.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase (1st r
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0.5% | 9.5% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
23% | 80% |
|
Relegation
|
76.5% | 10.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Samtredia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Mar. 2024 |
SAB
2 - 2
SAM
69%
19%
12%
|
59 | 72 | 13 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2024 |
SAM
1 - 1
KOL
35%
26%
39%
|
58 | 65 | 7 | +1 |
| 02 Mar. 2024 |
FTK
4 - 1
SAM
72%
18%
10%
|
59 | 74 | 15 | -1 |
| 17 Feb. 2024 |
SAM
1 - 2
LOK
59%
20%
21%
|
59 | 53 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2024 |
SAM
2 - 2
ADU
64%
19%
16%
|
59 | 53 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Gagra
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Mar. 2024 |
KOL
2 - 1
GAG
58%
23%
19%
|
59 | 65 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2024 |
GAG
1 - 3
DBA
18%
23%
59%
|
59 | 75 | 16 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2024 |
GOR
2 - 0
GAG
69%
20%
11%
|
59 | 74 | 15 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2024 |
LOK
7 - 2
GAG
32%
24%
44%
|
59 | 53 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 2023 |
SHU
0 - 9
GAG
33%
25%
42%
|
58 | 49 | 9 | +1 |