Samtredia vs Torpedo Kutaisi analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
22.4%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.4%
2-0
3.7%
3-1
1.5%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.5%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
5.3%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
15.2%
27%
Draw
0-0
10.3%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
27%
50.6%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
0-1
14.6%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
25.5%
0-2
10.4%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
15.4%
0-3
5%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
6.7%
0-4
1.8%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
2.2%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
+5%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
19
8º
10º
10º
54
1º
7º
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
1º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
54 | 71 |
1º
|
57% | |
|
2º
|
51 | 68 |
2º
|
30% | |
|
3º
|
49 | 64 |
3º
|
49.5% | |
|
4º
|
36 | 54 |
4º
|
70.5% | |
|
6º
|
31 | 48 |
5º
|
43% | |
|
5º
|
31 | 46 |
6º
|
36% | |
|
7º
|
28 | 42 |
7º
|
48.5% | |
|
8º
|
25 | 34 |
8º
|
42% | |
|
9º
|
24 | 33 |
9º
|
43% | |
|
|
10º
|
19 | 27 |
10º
|
76.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase (1st r
|
0% | 57% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 43% |
|
Mid-table
|
0.5% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
23% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
76.5% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Samtredia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Apr. 2024 |
DBA
3 - 1
SAM
77%
15%
8%
|
60 | 76 | 16 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2024 |
SAM
1 - 2
TEL
44%
26%
30%
|
60 | 63 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2024 |
GOR
3 - 0
SAM
68%
20%
12%
|
60 | 76 | 16 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2024 |
SAM
2 - 0
SAM
30%
26%
44%
|
59 | 69 | 10 | +1 |
| 30 Mar. 2024 |
DTB
1 - 1
SAM
78%
14%
7%
|
58 | 76 | 18 | +1 |
Matches
Torpedo Kutaisi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Apr. 2024 |
TEL
0 - 0
FTK
23%
28%
49%
|
76 | 64 | 12 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2024 |
FTK
3 - 1
SAM
62%
22%
17%
|
76 | 69 | 7 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2024 |
GAG
0 - 1
FTK
23%
27%
50%
|
75 | 60 | 15 | +1 |
| 02 Apr. 2024 |
FTK
3 - 2
KOL
62%
22%
17%
|
75 | 67 | 8 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2024 |
DBA
3 - 2
FTK
56%
23%
21%
|
75 | 76 | 1 | 0 |