Samtredia vs FC Telavi analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43.9%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.9%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.7%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.2%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.5%
25.9%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.8%
30.2%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
0-1
8.4%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17.9%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.4%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
-11%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
19
8º
10º
10º
24
4º
9º
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
9º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
54 | 71 |
1º
|
57% | |
|
2º
|
51 | 68 |
2º
|
30% | |
|
3º
|
49 | 64 |
3º
|
49.5% | |
|
4º
|
36 | 54 |
4º
|
70.5% | |
|
6º
|
31 | 48 |
5º
|
43% | |
|
5º
|
31 | 46 |
6º
|
36% | |
|
7º
|
28 | 42 |
7º
|
48.5% | |
|
8º
|
25 | 34 |
8º
|
42% | |
|
|
9º
|
24 | 33 |
9º
|
43% | |
|
|
10º
|
19 | 27 |
10º
|
76.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase (1st r
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0.5% | 11.5% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
23% | 76.5% |
|
Relegation
|
76.5% | 12% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Samtredia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Apr. 2024 |
GOR
3 - 0
SAM
68%
20%
12%
|
60 | 76 | 16 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2024 |
SAM
2 - 0
SAM
30%
26%
44%
|
59 | 69 | 10 | +1 |
| 30 Mar. 2024 |
DTB
1 - 1
SAM
78%
14%
7%
|
58 | 76 | 18 | +1 |
| 16 Mar. 2024 |
SAM
1 - 3
GAG
50%
24%
25%
|
59 | 58 | 1 | -1 |
| 10 Mar. 2024 |
SAB
2 - 2
SAM
69%
19%
12%
|
59 | 72 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
FC Telavi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Apr. 2024 |
SAM
2 - 1
TEL
52%
26%
22%
|
63 | 68 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2024 |
TEL
1 - 0
GAG
45%
27%
29%
|
63 | 60 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2024 |
KOL
3 - 1
TEL
53%
25%
22%
|
63 | 66 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2024 |
TEL
0 - 1
DBA
19%
24%
57%
|
63 | 76 | 13 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2024 |
GOR
1 - 0
TEL
66%
22%
13%
|
64 | 75 | 11 | -1 |