Samsunspor vs Beşiktaş analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
36.7%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.3%
2-0
5.9%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.7%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.9%
25.5%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.5%
37.9%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
0-1
8.8%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
20.3%
0-2
6.1%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.1%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.5%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
6
5º
18º
15º
10
1º
4º
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
4º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
2º
|
12 | 68 |
1º
|
38% | |
|
1º
|
13 | 68 |
2º
|
23% | |
|
|
4º
|
10 | 60 |
3º
|
15% | |
|
3º
|
10 | 57 |
4º
|
10.5% | |
|
13º
|
3 | 56 |
5º
|
9% | |
|
19º
|
2 | 54 |
6º
|
9% | |
|
10º
|
5 | 51 |
7º
|
11% | |
|
6º
|
7 | 51 |
8º
|
11% | |
|
7º
|
7 | 51 |
9º
|
6.5% | |
|
15º
|
3 | 49 |
10º
|
6% | |
|
5º
|
9 | 47 |
11º
|
8.5% | |
|
8º
|
6 | 46 |
12º
|
10.5% | |
|
11º
|
5 | 45 |
13º
|
5% | |
|
12º
|
4 | 45 |
14º
|
8.5% | |
|
|
9º
|
6 | 44 |
15º
|
7.5% | |
|
17º
|
2 | 43 |
16º
|
10% | |
|
14º
|
3 | 37 |
17º
|
14% | |
|
16º
|
3 | 34 |
18º
|
23.5% | |
|
18º
|
2 | 33 |
19º
|
27% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League
|
0% | 8.5% |
|
Champions League qualifying phase
|
0% | 15% |
|
Europa League qualifying phase
|
1% | 15% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0.5% | 11% |
|
Mid-table
|
74% | 49.5% |
|
Relegation
|
24.5% | 1% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Samsunspor
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jul. 2024 |
SAM
0 - 1
ALM
61%
21%
19%
|
81 | 73 | 8 | 0 |
| 15 Jul. 2024 |
KAY
1 - 3
SAM
48%
25%
28%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 May. 2024 |
FAT
3 - 1
SAM
58%
22%
21%
|
82 | 83 | 1 | -1 |
| 18 May. 2024 |
SAM
1 - 1
ALA
41%
25%
34%
|
82 | 84 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2024 |
KON
3 - 0
SAM
49%
26%
26%
|
82 | 84 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Beşiktaş
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Aug. 2024 |
GAL
0 - 5
BJK
52%
22%
26%
|
85 | 86 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Jul. 2024 |
BJK
2 - 1
SAK
63%
21%
16%
|
85 | 74 | 11 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2024 |
BJK
2 - 0
GEN
73%
17%
10%
|
85 | 71 | 14 | 0 |
| 24 Jul. 2024 |
BJK
0 - 0
BAN
68%
19%
13%
|
85 | 74 | 11 | 0 |
| 20 Jul. 2024 |
BJK
5 - 1
GRA
59%
21%
20%
|
85 | 77 | 8 | 0 |