Sampedrense vs Sacavenense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
27.5%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.8%
2-0
3.8%
3-1
2.9%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
7.7%
1-0
5.9%
2-1
6.8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
15.9%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.2%
49.4%
Win probability
1.79
Expected goals
0-1
8.3%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.2%
0-2
7.4%
1-3
5.7%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
15%
0-3
4.4%
1-4
2.5%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
7.6%
0-4
2%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3.1%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sampedrense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Sep. 2012 |
SAM
1 - 3
SAL
26%
24%
50%
|
29 | 39 | 10 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2012 |
SAM
1 - 0
OLI
47%
24%
30%
|
29 | 29 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2012 |
VAL
1 - 3
SAM
12%
19%
70%
|
28 | 10 | 18 | +1 |
| 26 Feb. 2012 |
SAM
2 - 0
AVA
43%
24%
33%
|
28 | 29 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2012 |
SAN
1 - 3
SAM
77%
15%
7%
|
26 | 53 | 27 | +2 |
Matches
Sacavenense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Sep. 2012 |
SAC
7 - 2
PEN
71%
17%
12%
|
39 | 28 | 11 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2012 |
CAS
2 - 1
SAC
68%
19%
13%
|
41 | 52 | 11 | -2 |
| 04 Mar. 2012 |
SAC
3 - 0
OEL
18%
22%
60%
|
38 | 59 | 21 | +3 |
| 26 Feb. 2012 |
REA
0 - 4
SAC
64%
21%
16%
|
37 | 44 | 7 | +1 |
| 19 Feb. 2012 |
SAC
1 - 3
OEI
41%
26%
33%
|
38 | 43 | 5 | -1 |