Sampdoria vs Siena analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.2%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.6%
3-0
6%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.9%
2-0
10.5%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.3%
1-0
12.1%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.7%
20.1%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.3%
0-2
3%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
+10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sampdoria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Oct. 2005 |
ASC
2 - 1
SAM
27%
28%
46%
|
83 | 67 | 16 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2005 |
MES
1 - 4
SAM
43%
27%
29%
|
83 | 76 | 7 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2005 |
SAM
1 - 0
VST
68%
19%
13%
|
83 | 73 | 10 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2005 |
SAM
1 - 2
CHI
55%
24%
20%
|
83 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2005 |
TRE
0 - 2
SAM
24%
28%
48%
|
83 | 66 | 17 | 0 |
Matches
Siena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Oct. 2005 |
SIE
2 - 3
UDI
28%
26%
46%
|
78 | 86 | 8 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2005 |
ROM
2 - 3
SIE
68%
19%
13%
|
78 | 86 | 8 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2005 |
SIE
4 - 2
MES
50%
26%
25%
|
78 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2005 |
ASC
1 - 1
SIE
29%
28%
43%
|
78 | 66 | 12 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2005 |
SIE
1 - 2
PAL
46%
27%
28%
|
78 | 80 | 2 | 0 |