Sampdoria vs Novara analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.2%
3-0
7.9%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.4%
2-0
13.7%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.7%
1-0
15.9%
2-1
9%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
+1
26.8%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
9.2%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
23.1%
13.9%
Win probability
0.66
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.3%
0-2
2%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2.9%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
+16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sampdoria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Sep. 1966 |
REG
1 - 1
SAM
32%
28%
40%
|
74 | 60 | 14 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 1966 |
SAM
0 - 0
PIS
63%
24%
13%
|
74 | 60 | 14 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 1966 |
VER
0 - 2
SAM
36%
29%
35%
|
74 | 64 | 10 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 1966 |
SAM
1 - 0
GEN
55%
23%
22%
|
72 | 71 | 1 | +2 |
| 22 May. 1966 |
JUV
2 - 1
SAM
66%
20%
14%
|
73 | 86 | 13 | -1 |
Matches
Novara
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Sep. 1966 |
NOV
1 - 2
MOD
48%
29%
23%
|
59 | 65 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 1966 |
REG
1 - 0
NOV
64%
22%
15%
|
60 | 66 | 6 | -1 |
| 11 Sep. 1966 |
CAT
0 - 0
NOV
64%
22%
14%
|
60 | 71 | 11 | 0 |
| 19 Jun. 1966 |
NOV
2 - 1
VER
44%
28%
28%
|
58 | 63 | 5 | +2 |
| 12 Jun. 1966 |
NOV
0 - 0
LEC
37%
30%
33%
|
58 | 71 | 13 | 0 |