Sampdoria vs ACR Messina analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
66.9%
Win probability
1.92
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2%
4-0
4.2%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5.4%
3-0
8.8%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
12%
2-0
13.7%
3-1
6%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.7%
1-0
14.3%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.8%
20.8%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
20.8%
12.3%
Win probability
0.68
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
3.3%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.1%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.6%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
-12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sampdoria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 May. 2003 |
VER
0 - 0
SAM
43%
26%
31%
|
75 | 73 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2003 |
SAM
3 - 1
CAG
58%
23%
19%
|
75 | 69 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2003 |
TER
1 - 1
SAM
37%
28%
36%
|
75 | 69 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2003 |
VIC
1 - 2
SAM
51%
24%
25%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | +1 |
| 28 Apr. 2003 |
SAM
0 - 0
SIE
62%
23%
15%
|
75 | 69 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
ACR Messina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 May. 2003 |
MES
2 - 2
TRI
46%
27%
28%
|
64 | 68 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2003 |
PAL
2 - 1
MES
49%
27%
24%
|
65 | 66 | 1 | -1 |
| 10 May. 2003 |
MES
1 - 0
COS
57%
24%
19%
|
64 | 60 | 4 | +1 |
| 03 May. 2003 |
MES
1 - 1
VNZ
45%
26%
29%
|
64 | 67 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2003 |
BAR
1 - 0
MES
55%
25%
19%
|
65 | 70 | 5 | -1 |