Sampdoria vs ACR Messina analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.9%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.9%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
8%
2-0
12%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
<0%
+2
17.2%
1-0
15.7%
2-1
9%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
+1
26.5%
25.8%
Draw
0-0
10.3%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
25.8%
18.3%
Win probability
0.75
Expected goals
0-1
7.7%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
13%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.1%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
-18%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sampdoria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Oct. 1966 |
SAM
2 - 0
CAT
47%
27%
26%
|
73 | 70 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 1966 |
SAL
2 - 2
SAM
22%
29%
50%
|
74 | 55 | 19 | -1 |
| 16 Oct. 1966 |
SAM
0 - 0
GEN
50%
27%
22%
|
74 | 71 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 1966 |
PAD
2 - 2
SAM
35%
29%
35%
|
74 | 66 | 8 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 1966 |
SAM
3 - 1
NOV
63%
23%
14%
|
74 | 59 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
ACR Messina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Nov. 1966 |
PIS
0 - 0
MES
40%
30%
30%
|
66 | 60 | 6 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 1966 |
MES
2 - 0
USA
52%
27%
21%
|
65 | 59 | 6 | +1 |
| 23 Oct. 1966 |
MES
0 - 0
SAV
70%
21%
9%
|
66 | 45 | 21 | -1 |
| 09 Oct. 1966 |
GEN
2 - 2
MES
56%
25%
19%
|
66 | 71 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 1966 |
MES
1 - 1
PAD
41%
30%
29%
|
66 | 66 | 0 | 0 |