Sampdoria vs ACR Messina analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.3%
Win probability
2.04
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.1%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.4%
3-0
7.3%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.5%
2-0
10.8%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.3%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
20.6%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.6%
16.2%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.9%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.9%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sampdoria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Sep. 1963 |
ACP
2 - 0
SAM
32%
25%
43%
|
76 | 56 | 20 | 0 |
| 26 May. 1963 |
MAN
3 - 1
SAM
44%
26%
31%
|
76 | 74 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 May. 1963 |
SAM
2 - 0
PAL
65%
20%
14%
|
76 | 68 | 8 | 0 |
| 05 May. 1963 |
TOR
4 - 2
SAM
49%
25%
26%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | -1 |
| 28 Apr. 1963 |
SAM
0 - 0
ROM
42%
25%
33%
|
77 | 83 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
ACR Messina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Sep. 1963 |
FCC
3 - 1
MES
46%
25%
29%
|
67 | 60 | 7 | 0 |
| 16 Jun. 1963 |
MES
2 - 2
USF
58%
23%
20%
|
67 | 62 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 Jun. 1963 |
MES
1 - 1
COS
68%
20%
12%
|
68 | 55 | 13 | -1 |
| 02 Jun. 1963 |
BAR
0 - 0
MES
53%
25%
23%
|
67 | 71 | 4 | +1 |
| 26 May. 1963 |
MES
2 - 0
FCC
60%
23%
17%
|
67 | 60 | 7 | 0 |