Sampdoria vs Matera analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
76.5%
Win probability
2.57
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.4%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.9%
5-0
3.4%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.6%
4-0
6.6%
5-1
2.5%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.5%
3-0
10.2%
4-1
4.9%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.2%
2-0
11.9%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.7%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.6%
14.8%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
7%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
14.8%
8.7%
Win probability
0.75
Expected goals
0-1
2.7%
1-2
2.6%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
6.3%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.9%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sampdoria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Nov. 1979 |
TAR
0 - 0
SAM
45%
31%
24%
|
59 | 59 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 1979 |
SAM
0 - 0
CES
53%
27%
20%
|
59 | 62 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 1979 |
GEN
0 - 0
SAM
63%
23%
14%
|
59 | 64 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 1979 |
SAM
1 - 2
PAL
47%
29%
24%
|
59 | 66 | 7 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 1979 |
COM
3 - 0
SAM
50%
28%
22%
|
61 | 60 | 1 | -2 |
Matches
Matera
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Nov. 1979 |
MAT
0 - 2
SPA
41%
26%
33%
|
48 | 60 | 12 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 1979 |
MAT
1 - 0
PAR
44%
25%
31%
|
47 | 55 | 8 | +1 |
| 28 Oct. 1979 |
PIS
0 - 1
MAT
69%
19%
13%
|
46 | 57 | 11 | +1 |
| 21 Oct. 1979 |
MAT
0 - 1
BAR
42%
25%
32%
|
46 | 56 | 10 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 1979 |
ASS
2 - 0
MAT
68%
21%
11%
|
47 | 67 | 20 | -1 |