Sampdoria vs Lucchese Libertas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.8%
Win probability
2.47
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.1%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.9%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
6.5%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
4.6%
5-2
1.5%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.2%
2-0
6.9%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
3%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
+2
18.2%
1-0
5.6%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
4.9%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.2%
18.3%
Draw
0-0
2.3%
1-1
7.4%
2-2
6%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
18.3%
18.9%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
0-1
3%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
11.3%
0-2
2%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
5.2%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sampdoria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Nov. 1948 |
SAM
0 - 0
PAD
68%
16%
16%
|
78 | 73 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 1948 |
PAL
1 - 1
SAM
32%
24%
44%
|
78 | 72 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 1948 |
ROM
2 - 4
SAM
49%
22%
29%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | +1 |
| 07 Nov. 1948 |
SAM
1 - 1
TRI
69%
16%
15%
|
77 | 74 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 1948 |
NOV
2 - 3
SAM
36%
24%
40%
|
77 | 72 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Lucchese Libertas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Nov. 1948 |
ASL
0 - 0
GEN
45%
23%
32%
|
75 | 79 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 1948 |
PAD
0 - 1
ASL
53%
21%
26%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | +1 |
| 14 Nov. 1948 |
ASL
4 - 0
FIO
52%
22%
26%
|
73 | 76 | 3 | +1 |
| 07 Nov. 1948 |
ASL
2 - 1
JUV
34%
24%
42%
|
73 | 85 | 12 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 1948 |
LIV
0 - 0
ASL
47%
23%
30%
|
72 | 73 | 1 | +1 |