Sampdoria vs Lecce analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
67%
Win probability
2.16
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.6%
4-0
4.4%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.3%
3-0
8.1%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.7%
2-0
11.3%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.2%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
19.2%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.1%
13.9%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.6%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sampdoria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 May. 2009 |
PAL
2 - 2
SAM
54%
24%
22%
|
84 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 May. 2009 |
SAM
2 - 2
UDI
47%
25%
28%
|
84 | 84 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2009 |
FIO
1 - 0
SAM
57%
24%
19%
|
84 | 86 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2009 |
LAZ
1 - 1
SAM
55%
25%
20%
|
84 | 85 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 May. 2009 |
SAM
5 - 0
REG
64%
21%
15%
|
84 | 78 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Lecce
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Aug. 2009 |
LEC
4 - 0
VIC
82%
13%
6%
|
74 | 47 | 27 | 0 |
| 31 May. 2009 |
GEN
4 - 1
LEC
63%
21%
16%
|
75 | 82 | 7 | -1 |
| 24 May. 2009 |
LEC
1 - 1
FIO
30%
28%
42%
|
74 | 87 | 13 | +1 |
| 17 May. 2009 |
BOL
2 - 1
LEC
49%
25%
26%
|
75 | 76 | 1 | -1 |
| 10 May. 2009 |
LEC
1 - 1
NAP
41%
27%
31%
|
75 | 80 | 5 | 0 |