Coppa Italia Semi-finals
Global 3-1
Sampdoria vs Fiorentina analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.8%
Win probability
1.95
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.5%
3-0
6.3%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.2%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.8%
21.7%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
21.7%
19.5%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
12.5%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sampdoria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jun. 1985 |
FIO
0 - 0
SAM
60%
22%
18%
|
80 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Jun. 1985 |
SAM
4 - 2
TOR
60%
23%
17%
|
80 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Jun. 1985 |
TOR
0 - 0
SAM
60%
22%
18%
|
80 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 May. 1985 |
SAM
3 - 0
ATL
75%
18%
8%
|
79 | 69 | 10 | +1 |
| 12 May. 1985 |
JUV
1 - 1
SAM
81%
13%
6%
|
79 | 88 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Fiorentina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jun. 1985 |
FIO
0 - 0
SAM
60%
22%
18%
|
81 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Jun. 1985 |
FIO
3 - 0
PAR
85%
10%
4%
|
81 | 53 | 28 | 0 |
| 12 Jun. 1985 |
PAR
1 - 0
FIO
16%
25%
59%
|
81 | 51 | 30 | 0 |
| 19 May. 1985 |
NAP
1 - 0
FIO
39%
29%
32%
|
81 | 77 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 May. 1985 |
FIO
0 - 0
TOR
60%
24%
16%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | 0 |