Sampdoria vs Crotone analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
86.2%
Win probability
3.12
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.5%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.7%
7-0
1.4%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.7%
6-0
3.1%
7-1
0.8%
8-2
0.1%
+6
4%
5-0
6%
6-1
1.9%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
8.1%
4-0
9.6%
5-1
3.6%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
<0%
+4
13.8%
3-0
12.3%
4-1
5.7%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
19.2%
2-0
11.9%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.1%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
7.1%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.2%
9.6%
Draw
0-0
2.4%
1-1
4.5%
2-2
2.1%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
0.1%
0
9.6%
4.2%
Win probability
0.6
Expected goals
0-1
1.5%
1-2
1.3%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
3.3%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
-2
0.8%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
-30%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sampdoria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Aug. 2000 |
FER
0 - 2
SAM
6%
17%
77%
|
81 | 48 | 33 | 0 |
| 11 Jun. 2000 |
SAM
3 - 2
ALZ
89%
9%
2%
|
81 | 56 | 25 | 0 |
| 04 Jun. 2000 |
FER
1 - 2
SAM
8%
19%
73%
|
81 | 49 | 32 | 0 |
| 28 May. 2000 |
SAM
2 - 1
FCS
91%
8%
2%
|
81 | 50 | 31 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2000 |
SAM
2 - 1
ASS
75%
17%
9%
|
81 | 65 | 16 | 0 |
Matches
Crotone
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Aug. 2000 |
CRO
1 - 3
EMP
43%
25%
32%
|
64 | 70 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 May. 2000 |
SIE
1 - 0
CRO
44%
25%
31%
|
65 | 65 | 0 | -1 |
| 21 May. 2000 |
CRO
1 - 1
SIE
52%
24%
24%
|
65 | 65 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2000 |
CRO
4 - 2
ANC
51%
24%
25%
|
64 | 65 | 1 | +1 |
| 07 May. 2000 |
FIA
4 - 3
CRO
28%
27%
45%
|
65 | 55 | 10 | -1 |