Sampdoria vs Padova analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.2%
Win probability
2.17
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.3%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.6%
3-0
6.6%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.5%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.7%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23%
19.9%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
19.9%
17.9%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
11.4%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.6%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
+9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sampdoria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Nov. 1959 |
JUV
5 - 4
SAM
81%
11%
8%
|
80 | 86 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 1959 |
USA
2 - 2
SAM
31%
25%
45%
|
80 | 70 | 10 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 1959 |
UDI
1 - 1
SAM
40%
24%
36%
|
80 | 73 | 7 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 1959 |
SAM
0 - 0
INT
48%
23%
29%
|
80 | 83 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 1959 |
SAM
1 - 0
BAR
74%
16%
11%
|
80 | 70 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Padova
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Nov. 1959 |
PAD
0 - 2
TOR
69%
17%
14%
|
77 | 72 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 1959 |
PAD
1 - 0
ROM
55%
22%
22%
|
76 | 79 | 3 | +1 |
| 18 Oct. 1959 |
VIC
1 - 0
PAD
49%
24%
27%
|
77 | 74 | 3 | -1 |
| 11 Oct. 1959 |
PAD
1 - 0
PAL
69%
18%
13%
|
77 | 70 | 7 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 1959 |
UDI
2 - 1
PAD
48%
24%
28%
|
77 | 73 | 4 | 0 |