Sampdoria vs Padova analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
68.3%
Win probability
2.81
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
1.8%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
1.4%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
0.1%
+5
4.2%
4-0
4.1%
5-1
3.1%
6-2
1%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
8.4%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
5.5%
5-2
2.1%
6-3
0.4%
7-4
0.1%
+3
13.9%
2-0
6.3%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
3.7%
5-3
0.9%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
18.9%
1-0
4.5%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
5.2%
4-3
1.6%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
20%
16%
Draw
0-0
1.6%
1-1
6%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
2.3%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
16%
15.7%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
0-1
2.1%
1-2
4%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
9.5%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
4.2%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
-10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sampdoria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Nov. 1948 |
PAL
1 - 1
SAM
32%
24%
44%
|
78 | 72 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 1948 |
ROM
2 - 4
SAM
49%
22%
29%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | +1 |
| 07 Nov. 1948 |
SAM
1 - 1
TRI
69%
16%
15%
|
77 | 74 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 1948 |
NOV
2 - 3
SAM
36%
24%
40%
|
77 | 72 | 5 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 1948 |
SAM
2 - 0
JUV
40%
23%
38%
|
76 | 86 | 10 | +1 |
Matches
Padova
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Nov. 1948 |
PAD
0 - 1
ASL
53%
21%
26%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 1948 |
LIV
2 - 2
PAD
45%
24%
31%
|
74 | 72 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 1948 |
PAD
1 - 1
PRO
54%
21%
25%
|
74 | 71 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 1948 |
PAD
3 - 0
ATL
55%
22%
23%
|
73 | 77 | 4 | +1 |
| 31 Oct. 1948 |
TOR
3 - 1
PAD
92%
6%
3%
|
73 | 92 | 19 | 0 |