Coppa Italia 1/16
Global 5-1
Sampdoria vs Brescia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
77.7%
Win probability
2.04
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.1%
+6
1%
5-0
2.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
3%
4-0
6.6%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
7.6%
3-0
12.9%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.2%
+3
15.4%
2-0
19%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
24%
1-0
18.7%
2-1
6.7%
3-2
0.8%
4-3
<0%
+1
26.2%
17%
Draw
0-0
9.2%
1-1
6.6%
2-2
1.2%
3-3
0.1%
0
17%
5.3%
Win probability
0.35
Expected goals
0-1
3.2%
1-2
1.2%
2-3
0.1%
-1
4.5%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.1%
2-4
0%
-2
0.7%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sampdoria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 May. 1990 |
SAM
2 - 0
AND
49%
25%
25%
|
88 | 87 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 1990 |
USC
0 - 3
SAM
20%
29%
51%
|
87 | 70 | 17 | +1 |
| 22 Apr. 1990 |
SAM
0 - 0
CES
75%
17%
8%
|
88 | 73 | 15 | -1 |
| 18 Apr. 1990 |
SAM
2 - 0
MON
66%
22%
12%
|
87 | 84 | 3 | +1 |
| 14 Apr. 1990 |
ACM
1 - 0
SAM
62%
22%
15%
|
87 | 91 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Brescia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Sep. 1990 |
SAL
0 - 1
BRE
49%
26%
25%
|
63 | 57 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 1990 |
BRE
0 - 0
SAL
59%
24%
18%
|
64 | 56 | 8 | -1 |
| 03 Jun. 1990 |
BRE
2 - 1
PAD
49%
30%
21%
|
63 | 62 | 1 | +1 |
| 27 May. 1990 |
SSB
1 - 1
BRE
49%
30%
21%
|
63 | 62 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 May. 1990 |
BRE
2 - 1
COS
44%
30%
26%
|
62 | 64 | 2 | +1 |